2025 Week 8 · Oct 16, 2025, 11:30 PM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Tulsa @ East Carolina

Predicted scoreConfident

Tulsa

15.0

East Carolina

35.9

East Carolina win probability: 91%

Margin (East Carolina − Tulsa): 20.9 (80% range 0 to 42)

Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Tulsa 27 – East Carolina 41 (margin error 6.9, total error 17.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.