Predicted scoreLikely
Tulane
36.0
Tulsa
20.0
Tulsa win probability: 16%
Margin (Tulsa − Tulane): -16.0 (80% range -38 to 4)
Total: 56.0 (80% range 33 to 80)
Actual: Tulane 31 – Tulsa 14 (margin error 1.0, total error 11.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.