Predicted scoreConfident
Tulsa
17.4
Tulane
36.3
Tulane win probability: 88%
Margin (Tulane − Tulsa): 18.9 (80% range -1 to 39)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:23 PM | 18.9 | 53.6 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:20 PM | 18.9 | 53.6 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:54 PM | 18.9 | 53.6 | 88% |