Predicted scoreLikely
Tulsa
19.0
UTSA
35.3
UTSA win probability: 84%
Margin (UTSA − Tulsa): 16.3 (80% range -4 to 38)
Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:11 PM | 16.3 | 54.2 | 84% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:03 PM | 16.3 | 54.3 | 84% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:20 PM | 16.3 | 54.2 | 84% |