2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 4:00 PM · Michie Stadium
East Carolina @ Army
Predicted scoreLikely
East Carolina
18.0
Army
31.3
Army win probability: 81%
Margin (Army − East Carolina): 13.3 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: East Carolina 28 – Army 45 (margin error 3.7, total error 23.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.92% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.76% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.