2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:30 PM · DATCU Stadium
East Carolina @ North Texas
Predicted scoreLean
East Carolina
29.5
North Texas
34.6
North Texas win probability: 62%
Margin (North Texas − East Carolina): 5.2 (80% range -17 to 27)
Total: 64.1 (80% range 38 to 91)
Actual: East Carolina 40 – North Texas 28 (margin error 17.2, total error 3.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 38 | 0.59% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.59% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 38 | 0.55% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.54% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.