East Carolina
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Michigan | 30–3 | 42.1–13.5 | 1.7 |
| Week 2 | vs Marshall | 31–13 | 24.2–27.0 | 20.8 |
| Week 3 | @ App State | 43–28 | 33.5–24.9 | 6.4 |
| Week 5 | @ Rice | 24–17 | 27.1–32.3 | 12.2 |
| Week 7 | vs SMU | 31–10 | 30.2–30.9 | 21.7 |
| Week 8 | vs Charlotte | 10–7 | 24.0–30.6 | 9.5 |
| Week 9 | @ UTSA | 41–27 | 32.3–22.7 | 4.4 |
| Week 10 | vs Tulane | 13–10 | 31.5–22.4 | 6.0 |
| Week 11 | @ Florida Atlantic | 7–22 | 29.1–25.0 | 19.1 |
| Week 12 | @ Navy | 10–0 | 22.9–21.3 | 8.4 |
| Week 13 | vs Tulsa | 29–27 | 24.5–29.7 | 7.1 |