2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 7:30 PM · Alamodome
East Carolina @ UTSA
Predicted scoreLikely
East Carolina
22.7
UTSA
32.3
UTSA win probability: 73%
Margin (UTSA − East Carolina): 9.6 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: East Carolina 27 – UTSA 41 (margin error 4.4, total error 13.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.