2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 5:00 PM · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

East Carolina @ Navy

Predicted scoreToss-up

East Carolina

21.3

Navy

22.9

Navy win probability: 54%

Margin (Navy − East Carolina): 1.6 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 44.1 (80% range 24 to 66)

Actual: East Carolina 0 – Navy 10 (margin error 8.4, total error 34.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.