2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 7:30 PM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Tulane @ East Carolina

Predicted scoreLikely

Tulane

31.5

East Carolina

22.4

East Carolina win probability: 29%

Margin (East Carolina − Tulane): -9.0 (80% range -30 to 11)

Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Tulane 13 – East Carolina 10 (margin error 6.0, total error 30.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.