2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 6:00 PM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Charlotte @ East Carolina

Predicted scoreLean

Charlotte

24.0

East Carolina

30.6

East Carolina win probability: 65%

Margin (East Carolina − Charlotte): 6.5 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Charlotte 10 – East Carolina 7 (margin error 9.5, total error 37.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.