2024 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024, 5:00 PM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Navy @ East Carolina
Predicted scoreToss-up
Navy
27.8
East Carolina
24.1
East Carolina win probability: 41%
Margin (East Carolina − Navy): -3.7 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Navy 34 – East Carolina 20 (margin error 10.3, total error 2.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.