2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 7:30 PM · Jerry Richardson Stadium

East Carolina @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreLean

East Carolina

29.3

Charlotte

23.6

Charlotte win probability: 36%

Margin (Charlotte − East Carolina): -5.7 (80% range -26 to 14)

Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: East Carolina 24 – Charlotte 55 (margin error 36.7, total error 26.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.