2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 8:00 PM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Charlotte @ East Carolina

Predicted scoreConfident

Charlotte

16.7

East Carolina

33.3

East Carolina win probability: 85%

Margin (East Carolina − Charlotte): 16.6 (80% range -3 to 37)

Total: 50.0 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Charlotte 22 – East Carolina 48 (margin error 9.4, total error 20.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.