2025 Week 7 · Oct 9, 2025, 11:30 PM · Yulman Stadium
East Carolina @ Tulane
Predicted scoreLean
East Carolina
20.6
Tulane
28.3
Tulane win probability: 69%
Margin (Tulane − East Carolina): 7.7 (80% range -12 to 28)
Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: East Carolina 19 – Tulane 26 (margin error 0.7, total error 3.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.