2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Rice @ East Carolina
Predicted scoreConfident
Rice
16.2
East Carolina
35.4
East Carolina win probability: 89%
Margin (East Carolina − Rice): 19.1 (80% range -1 to 39)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 30 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:15 PM | 19.1 | 51.6 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:21 PM | 19.1 | 51.6 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:27 PM | 19.1 | 51.6 | 89% |