2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 11:00 PM · Carter-Finley Stadium

Virginia Tech @ NC State

Predicted scoreLean

Virginia Tech

23.7

NC State

30.6

NC State win probability: 67%

Margin (NC State − Virginia Tech): 6.9 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Virginia Tech 23 – NC State 21 (margin error 8.9, total error 10.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.