2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 7:30 PM · Acrisure Stadium
NC State @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreToss-up
NC State
23.4
Pittsburgh
25.4
Pittsburgh win probability: 55%
Margin (Pittsburgh − NC State): 2.0 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: NC State 34 – Pittsburgh 53 (margin error 17.0, total error 38.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.