Predicted scoreToss-up
Virginia
25.1
NC State
26.4
NC State win probability: 54%
Margin (NC State − Virginia): 1.3 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Virginia 31 – NC State 35 (margin error 2.7, total error 14.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.