2025 Week 3 · Sep 11, 2025, 11:30 PM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

NC State @ Wake Forest

Predicted scoreToss-up

NC State

27.9

Wake Forest

24.9

Wake Forest win probability: 43%

Margin (Wake Forest − NC State): -2.9 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: NC State 34 – Wake Forest 24 (margin error 7.1, total error 5.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.