Predicted scoreConfident
NC State
19.1
Miami
35.7
Miami win probability: 85%
Margin (Miami − NC State): 16.6 (80% range -4 to 38)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: NC State 7 – Miami 41 (margin error 17.4, total error 6.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.