NC State
ACC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ UConn | 14–24 | 17.2–33.5 | 6.3 |
| Week 2 | vs Notre Dame | 45–24 | 34.6–20.4 | 6.7 |
| Week 4 | @ Virginia | 21–24 | 23.6–28.6 | 2.0 |
| Week 5 | vs Louisville | 13–10 | 31.0–27.6 | 0.4 |
| Week 6 | vs Marshall | 41–48 | 21.6–23.5 | 5.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Duke | 24–3 | 30.9–20.1 | 10.1 |
| Week 9 | vs Clemson | 17–24 | 27.9–23.9 | 11.0 |
| Week 10 | vs Miami | 6–20 | 26.1–28.4 | 11.7 |
| Week 11 | @ Wake Forest | 6–26 | 26.4–26.1 | 20.3 |
| Week 12 | @ Virginia Tech | 28–35 | 27.0–26.2 | 7.9 |
| Week 13 | vs North Carolina | 20–39 | 27.4–26.9 | 19.5 |
| Week 1 | @ Kansas State | 28–19 | 29.5–18.6 | 1.9 |