2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 7:00 PM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

NC State @ Wake Forest

Predicted scoreToss-up

NC State

26.1

Wake Forest

26.4

Wake Forest win probability: 51%

Margin (Wake Forest − NC State): 0.3 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: NC State 26 – Wake Forest 6 (margin error 20.3, total error 20.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.