Predicted scoreToss-up
Miami
26.1
NC State
28.4
NC State win probability: 56%
Margin (NC State − Miami): 2.3 (80% range -18 to 23)
Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Miami 6 – NC State 20 (margin error 11.7, total error 28.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.