2023 Postseason · Dec 28, 2023, 10:45 PM · Camping World Stadium (neutral site)

NC State @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreLikely

NC State

18.6

Kansas State

29.5

Kansas State win probability: 76%

Margin (Kansas State − NC State): 10.9 (80% range -8 to 31)

Total: 48.1 (80% range 27 to 71)

Actual: NC State 19 – Kansas State 28 (margin error 1.9, total error 1.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.