2023 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2023, 11:30 PM · Pratt & Whitney Stadium

NC State @ UConn

Predicted scoreConfident

NC State

33.5

UConn

17.2

UConn win probability: 15%

Margin (UConn − NC State): -16.3 (80% range -37 to 4)

Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: NC State 24 – UConn 14 (margin error 6.3, total error 12.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.