2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 4:00 PM · Carter-Finley Stadium
Notre Dame @ NC State
Predicted scoreLikely
Notre Dame
34.6
NC State
20.4
NC State win probability: 19%
Margin (NC State − Notre Dame): -14.3 (80% range -35 to 7)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Notre Dame 45 – NC State 24 (margin error 6.7, total error 14.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 35 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.