2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 7:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
NC State @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreConfident
NC State
18.1
Notre Dame
36.2
Notre Dame win probability: 88%
Margin (Notre Dame − NC State): 18.2 (80% range -2 to 38)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: NC State 7 – Notre Dame 36 (margin error 10.8, total error 11.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.