2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Carter-Finley Stadium
Wake Forest @ NC State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Wake Forest
24.7
NC State
27.4
NC State win probability: 57%
Margin (NC State − Wake Forest): 2.6 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:20 PM | 2.6 | 52.1 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:27 PM | 2.6 | 52.1 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:19 PM | 2.6 | 52.1 | 57% |