Predicted scoreToss-up
Syracuse
26.0
NC State
29.1
NC State win probability: 58%
Margin (NC State − Syracuse): 3.1 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:32 PM | 9.9 | 53.4 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:33 PM | 9.9 | 53.4 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:55 PM | 9.9 | 53.4 | 73% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:46 AM | 9.9 | 53.4 | 73% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:04 PM | 9.9 | 53.4 | 73% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:53 PM | 9.3 | 53.6 | 72% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:07 PM | 7.1 | 53.2 | 67% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:12 PM | 6.2 | 50.9 | 65% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:42 PM | 6.2 | 50.9 | 65% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:11 PM | 6.5 | 51.0 | 66% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:32 PM | 6.5 | 51.0 | 66% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:46 PM | 4.9 | 53.3 | 62% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:51 PM | 6.2 | 54.3 | 65% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:43 PM | 3.7 | 55.7 | 59% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:19 PM | 3.1 | 55.1 | 58% |