2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Carter-Finley Stadium
California @ NC State
Predicted scoreLean
California
22.8
NC State
30.8
NC State win probability: 69%
Margin (NC State − California): 8.0 (80% range -12 to 28)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:02 PM | 8.1 | 53.7 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:02 PM | 8.0 | 53.6 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:25 PM | 8.0 | 53.6 | 69% |