Predicted scoreLikely
App State
19.0
NC State
34.8
NC State win probability: 84%
Margin (NC State − App State): 15.8 (80% range -4 to 36)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:52 PM | 15.9 | 53.9 | 84% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:58 PM | 16.0 | 53.9 | 84% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:58 PM | 15.8 | 53.8 | 84% |