2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 4:00 PM · Scott Stadium
James Madison @ Virginia
Predicted scoreToss-up
James Madison
27.6
Virginia
25.4
Virginia win probability: 44%
Margin (Virginia − James Madison): -2.2 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: James Madison 36 – Virginia 35 (margin error 1.2, total error 18.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.