2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 6:00 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)

Virginia @ Coastal Carolina

Predicted scoreLean

Virginia

27.7

Coastal Carolina

20.2

Coastal Carolina win probability: 31%

Margin (Coastal Carolina − Virginia): -7.5 (80% range -28 to 12)

Total: 47.9 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Virginia 43 – Coastal Carolina 24 (margin error 11.5, total error 19.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.