Predicted scoreLean
Maryland
31.7
Virginia
27.2
Virginia win probability: 39%
Margin (Virginia − Maryland): -4.4 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 58.9 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: Maryland 27 – Virginia 13 (margin error 9.6, total error 18.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.