2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 4:00 PM · Scott Stadium
Boston College @ Virginia
Predicted scoreToss-up
Boston College
27.2
Virginia
28.3
Virginia win probability: 53%
Margin (Virginia − Boston College): 1.1 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 55.6 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Boston College 14 – Virginia 24 (margin error 8.9, total error 17.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.