2024 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2024, 1:00 AM · Acrisure Stadium
Virginia @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreLean
Virginia
22.7
Pittsburgh
28.7
Pittsburgh win probability: 65%
Margin (Pittsburgh − Virginia): 6.0 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 51.4 (80% range 29 to 75)
Actual: Virginia 24 – Pittsburgh 19 (margin error 11.0, total error 8.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.