2025 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025, 10:00 PM · Scott Stadium
Coastal Carolina @ Virginia
Predicted scoreLikely
Coastal Carolina
20.0
Virginia
29.8
Virginia win probability: 73%
Margin (Virginia − Coastal Carolina): 9.8 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Coastal Carolina 7 – Virginia 48 (margin error 31.2, total error 5.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.