Predicted scoreLikely
Stanford
20.2
Virginia
31.5
Virginia win probability: 76%
Margin (Virginia − Stanford): 11.3 (80% range -9 to 32)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Stanford 20 – Virginia 48 (margin error 16.7, total error 16.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.82% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.