2025 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2025, 12:00 AM · Scott Stadium
Wake Forest @ Virginia
Predicted scoreLean
Wake Forest
22.3
Virginia
28.4
Virginia win probability: 65%
Margin (Virginia − Wake Forest): 6.1 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Wake Forest 16 – Virginia 9 (margin error 13.1, total error 25.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.