2024 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2024, 12:00 AM · Yankee Stadium (neutral site)

Army @ Notre Dame

Predicted scoreLikely

Army

14.8

Notre Dame

29.5

Notre Dame win probability: 84%

Margin (Notre Dame − Army): 14.7 (80% range -4 to 34)

Total: 44.3 (80% range 24 to 66)

Actual: Army 14 – Notre Dame 49 (margin error 20.3, total error 18.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.