2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 11:30 PM · Kyle Field
Notre Dame @ Texas A&M
Predicted scoreToss-up
Notre Dame
23.5
Texas A&M
25.6
Texas A&M win probability: 56%
Margin (Texas A&M − Notre Dame): 2.2 (80% range -18 to 22)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Notre Dame 23 – Texas A&M 13 (margin error 12.2, total error 13.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.