Notre Dame
FBS Independents
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Miami | 27–24 | 25.7–30.0 | 7.3 |
| Week 3 | vs Texas A&M | 41–40 | 16.5–30.8 | 15.3 |
| Week 4 | vs Purdue | 30–56 | 15.0–38.2 | 2.8 |
| Week 5 | @ Arkansas | 13–56 | 26.6–31.5 | 38.1 |
| Week 6 | vs Boise State | 7–28 | 16.2–38.2 | 1.1 |
| Week 7 | vs NC State | 7–36 | 18.1–36.2 | 10.8 |
| Week 8 | vs USC | 24–34 | 24.3–34.9 | 0.6 |
| Week 10 | @ Boston College | 10–25 | 15.3–38.4 | 8.0 |
| Week 11 | vs Navy | 10–49 | 16.3–35.5 | 19.8 |
| Week 12 | @ Pittsburgh | 15–37 | 20.0–30.8 | 11.2 |
| Week 13 | vs Syracuse | 7–70 | 15.4–37.2 | 41.3 |
| Week 14 | @ Stanford | 20–49 | 14.0–35.3 | 7.7 |