2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 11:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
Texas A&M @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreLikely
Texas A&M
16.5
Notre Dame
30.8
Notre Dame win probability: 83%
Margin (Notre Dame − Texas A&M): 14.3 (80% range -5 to 34)
Total: 47.2 (80% range 26 to 70)
Actual: Texas A&M 41 – Notre Dame 40 (margin error 15.3, total error 33.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.