Notre Dame
FBS Independents
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Navy | 3–42 | 17.1–32.0 | 24.1 |
| Week 2 | @ NC State | 24–45 | 20.4–34.6 | 6.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Central Michigan | 17–41 | 12.1–41.9 | 5.8 |
| Week 4 | vs Ohio State | 17–14 | 29.8–26.0 | 0.9 |
| Week 5 | @ Duke | 14–21 | 24.6–30.6 | 1.1 |
| Week 6 | @ Louisville | 33–20 | 24.8–32.6 | 20.8 |
| Week 7 | vs USC | 20–48 | 31.4–34.6 | 24.8 |
| Week 9 | vs Pittsburgh | 7–58 | 16.3–32.4 | 34.8 |
| Week 10 | @ Clemson | 31–23 | 21.4–29.6 | 16.1 |
| Week 12 | vs Wake Forest | 7–45 | 16.6–36.2 | 18.4 |
| Week 13 | @ Stanford | 23–56 | 17.2–35.6 | 14.6 |
| Week 1 | vs Oregon State | 8–40 | 23.9–24.7 | 31.2 |