2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 11:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
Ohio State @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreToss-up
Ohio State
29.8
Notre Dame
26.0
Notre Dame win probability: 41%
Margin (Notre Dame − Ohio State): -3.9 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 55.8 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Ohio State 17 – Notre Dame 14 (margin error 0.9, total error 24.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.