2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 6:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium

Central Michigan @ Notre Dame

Predicted scoreConfident

Central Michigan

12.1

Notre Dame

41.9

Notre Dame win probability: 97%

Margin (Notre Dame − Central Michigan): 29.8 (80% range 10 to 52)

Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Central Michigan 17 – Notre Dame 41 (margin error 5.8, total error 4.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.