2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 7:30 PM · Notre Dame Stadium
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreConfident
Pittsburgh
16.3
Notre Dame
32.4
Notre Dame win probability: 85%
Margin (Notre Dame − Pittsburgh): 16.2 (80% range -3 to 36)
Total: 48.7 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Pittsburgh 7 – Notre Dame 58 (margin error 34.8, total error 16.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.82% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.75% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.