2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 7:30 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

Notre Dame @ Boston College

Predicted scoreConfident

Notre Dame

38.4

Boston College

15.3

Boston College win probability: 7%

Margin (Boston College − Notre Dame): -23.0 (80% range -44 to -3)

Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 77)

Actual: Notre Dame 25 – Boston College 10 (margin error 8.0, total error 18.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.