2025 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2025, 12:30 AM · Notre Dame Stadium
Navy @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreConfident
Navy
16.3
Notre Dame
35.5
Notre Dame win probability: 89%
Margin (Notre Dame − Navy): 19.2 (80% range 0 to 39)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Navy 10 – Notre Dame 49 (margin error 19.8, total error 7.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 7 | 21 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.